Above 8% is favored at 84% as of 6 Oct 2026, 12:05 UTC across 6 markets.
- Above 8%: 84% (24h change 0%)
- Above 10%: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Above 12%: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Above 18%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Above 14%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Above 16%: 2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
Above 8% is favored at 84% as of 6 Oct 2026, 12:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
Above 8%: 84%; Above 10%: 40%; Above 12%: 15%; Above 18%: 7%; Above 14%: 4%; Above 16%: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.