Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·90%(+69%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·54%(-25%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·3%(-18%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·6%(-16%)
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Live summary

At least 250 billion is favored at 15% as of 4 Jul 2026, 23:32 UTC across 5 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • At least 250 billion: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 2 trillion: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 500 billion: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 750 billion: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 1 trillion: 2% (24h change 0%)
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