Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 42+ pts·98%(+77%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·20%(-58%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·98%(+56%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place·Reform UK·98%(+43%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 70+ pts·92%(+42%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·75%(+38%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 20·58%(-32%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 35·62%(+32%)How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?·Above 59·3%(-30%)

Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 42+ pts·98%(+77%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·20%(-58%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·98%(+56%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place·Reform UK·98%(+43%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 70+ pts·92%(+42%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·75%(+38%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 20·58%(-32%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 35·62%(+32%)How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?·Above 59·3%(-30%)

Summary

Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026? is favored at 47% as of 26 Jul 2026, 19:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

policy1 marketLIVE

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

All options

Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?

47%

—

$53K