Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026? is favored at 2% as of 9 Sep 2026, 21:37 UTC across 1 market.
- Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?: 2% (24h change 0%)
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026? is favored at 2% as of 9 Sep 2026, 21:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.