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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?·John Hart·98%(+95%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)MO-02 House winner?·Fred Wellman·85%(+64%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Pennsylvania·98%(+50%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+41%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 3·46%(-41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 11+ pts·23%(-37%)How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026?·At least 9·87%(+32%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Jensen Huang·36%(-31%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 1·7%(-30%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·53%(+29%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·54%(+29%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 300k·60%(+26%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·26%(-24%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 14% as of 22 Aug 2026, 05:34 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 11% (24h change 0%)
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