Reform UK is favored at 41% as of 7 Oct 2026, 05:36 UTC across 15 markets.
- Reform UK: 41% (24h change -1%)
- Conservative Party: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Liberal Democrats: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Workers Party: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Green Party: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Communist League: 1% (24h change 0%)
- UKIP - NO to Illegal Immigration: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Official Monster Raving Loony Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Tom Darwood: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Labour Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
- UK VOICE safer and stronger UK: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Rejoin EU: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Christian Peoples Alliance: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Climate Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Restore Britain: 1% (24h change 0%)
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place?
Reform UK is favored at 41% as of 7 Oct 2026, 05:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place?
Reform UK: 41%; Conservative Party: 34%; Liberal Democrats: 12%; Workers Party: 3%; Green Party: 3%; Communist League: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.