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Powered by KalshiWho will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Lisa Nandy·95%(+92%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 70k·32%(-62%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Dan Osborn·5%(-59%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·13%(-58%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·John Thune·5%(-57%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·14%(-48%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?·Above 5.9%·5%(-44%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·96.5%(+40.5%)NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Micah Lasher, 4-6%·96%(+36%)Wisconsin State Assembly winner?·Democratic party·58%(-32%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Russell Fry·57%(-31%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Venezuela·56%(+31%)Who will leave California before 2027?·Larry Page·58%(-30%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·94%(+28%)Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?·Senate·86%(+26%)
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Summary

Above 40 is favored at 78% as of 15 Jul 2026, 10:02 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 40: 78% (24h change -8%)
  • Above 50: 58% (24h change -7%)
  • Above 60: 49% (24h change -14%)
  • Above 80: 26% (24h change -9%)
  • Above 70: 25% (24h change -22%)
  • Above 90: 23% (24h change -7%)
  • Above 100: 16% (24h change -14%)
international7 marketsLIVE

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

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All options

Above 40

78%
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Above 50

58%
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Above 60

49%
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Above 80

26%
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Above 70

25%
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Above 90

23%
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Above 100

16%
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