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U.S. Midterms 2026
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New York Attorney General winner?
·
Saritha Komatireddy
·
13%
(-77.2%)
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
9%
(-77%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)
·
At least 3
·
99%
(+67%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Brett Hueffmeier
·
6%
(-66%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Jason Knapp
·
58%
(+57%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 26
·
48%
(+45%)
Who will AOC endorse?
·
Darializa Avila Chevalier
·
36%
(-41%)
Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?
·
Labour, ≥30%
·
99%
(+41%)
Will Missouri Amendment 5 pass?
·
Will Amendment 5 pass?
·
24%
(-41%)
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
·
Before Oct 2026
·
88%
(+38%)
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
·
Mike Lee
·
67%
(+32%)
How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
·
Above 51
·
57%
(+30%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Letitia James
·
61%
(+29%)
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
·
Proposition 45
·
65%
(-28%)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
·
College sports federalization
·
47%
(+26%)
Powered by
Kalshi
New York Attorney General winner?
·
Saritha Komatireddy
·
13%
(-77.2%)
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
9%
(-77%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)
·
At least 3
·
99%
(+67%)
MO-05 Republican nominee?
·
Brett Hueffmeier
·
6%
(-66%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Jason Knapp
·
58%
(+57%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 26
·
48%
(+45%)
Who will AOC endorse?
·
Darializa Avila Chevalier
·
36%
(-41%)
Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?
·
Labour, ≥30%
·
99%
(+41%)
Will Missouri Amendment 5 pass?
·
Will Amendment 5 pass?
·
24%
(-41%)
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
·
Before Oct 2026
·
88%
(+38%)
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
·
Mike Lee
·
67%
(+32%)
How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
·
Above 51
·
57%
(+30%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Letitia James
·
61%
(+29%)
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
·
Proposition 45
·
65%
(-28%)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
·
College sports federalization
·
47%
(+26%)
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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9)
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August 9
is favored at
14%
as of 1 Aug 2026, 15:34 UTC
across 1 market. Kalshi odds.
August 9: 14% (24h change 0%)
international
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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9)
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