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Powered by KalshiWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Dec 1, 2026·82%(+72%)Will Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·93%(+71%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·85%(+70%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Leon Lawson·9%(-67%)Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·92%(+61%)VA-10 Republican nominee?·Dave Beckwith·61%(+49%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 75k·9%(-44%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·67%(+44%)Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?·Gabriel Attal·4.3%(-41.7%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·4%(-38%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·2%(-37%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·88%(+37%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·2%(-32%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 50·41%(-23%)
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Summary

July 10 is favored at 18% as of 7 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • July 10: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • July 12: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • July 7: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • July 8: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • July 9: 12% (24h change 0%)
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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)

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