Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)2028 Democratic Presidential ticket·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear·9.4%(-88.3%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 9·8%(-74%)Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Sep 1, 2026·21%(-70%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Mohammed bin Salman·99%(+70%)When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·16%(-62%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·16%(-51%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Ryan Elijah·62%(+45%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·28%(-45%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·57%(+44%)Will Ontario’s minimum wage increase take effect on October 1?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Ontario’s general minimum wage increase to $17.95 per hour takes effect as scheduled on October 1, 2026 before Oct 2, 2026?·93%(+42%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ed Miliband·90%(+40%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·30%(-40%)Will China unban Bitcoin?·Before 2030·17%(-32%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)2028 Democratic Presidential ticket·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear·9.4%(-88.3%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 9·8%(-74%)Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Sep 1, 2026·21%(-70%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Mohammed bin Salman·99%(+70%)When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·16%(-62%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·16%(-51%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Ryan Elijah·62%(+45%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·28%(-45%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·57%(+44%)Will Ontario’s minimum wage increase take effect on October 1?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Ontario’s general minimum wage increase to $17.95 per hour takes effect as scheduled on October 1, 2026 before Oct 2, 2026?·93%(+42%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Ed Miliband·90%(+40%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·30%(-40%)Will China unban Bitcoin?·Before 2030·17%(-32%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)

Summary

July 18 is favored at 18% as of 10 Jul 2026, 21:33 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/13 - 7/19)

Odds history

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July 18

18%

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$13

July 13

17%

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$2