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Live market summary

Above 4 is favored at 93% as of 7 Oct 2026, 13:07 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Above 4: 93% (24h change +1%)
  • Above 6: 36% (24h change -16%)
  • Above 8: 9% (24h change -7%)
  • Above 10: 5% (24h change -4%)
  • Above 12: 3% (24h change -1%)
  • Above 14: 2% (24h change -1%)
international6 marketsLIVE

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

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All options

Above 4

93%
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Above 6

36%
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Above 8

9%
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Above 10

5%
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Above 12

3%
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Above 14

2%
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About this market

Market question: Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)?

Above 4 is favored at 93% as of 7 Oct 2026, 13:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)?

Above 4: 93%; Above 6: 36%; Above 8: 9%; Above 10: 5%; Above 12: 3%; Above 14: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.