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Powered by KalshiHI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Ed Case, ≥15%·99%(+88%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·99%(+75%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Tim Moffitt·6%(-67%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·69%(+61%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·64%(+59%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99.9%(+53.9%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99%(+50%)When will the UK's social media ban take effect?·Before Aug 1, 2027·34%(-44%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·15%(-43%)Ohio's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 6+ pts·58%(+42%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Adam Crum·47%(+40.5%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·14%(-38%)Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·52%(+33%)
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Summary

Above 10 is favored at 91% as of 9 Aug 2026, 19:04 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 10: 91% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 20: 88% (24h change +6%)
  • Above 30: 58% (24h change -6%)
  • Above 50: 23% (24h change -3%)
  • Above 60: 15% (24h change -2%)
  • Above 70: 11% (24h change +1%)
  • Above 80: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 100: 3% (24h change -2%)
international8 marketsLIVE

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)

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Above 20

88%
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Above 30

58%
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Above 50

23%
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Above 60

15%
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Above 70

11%
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Above 100

3%
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