Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+82%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·34%(-48%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+47%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 4·29%(-43%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·17%(-41%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·63%(+39%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·3%(-38%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·48%(+36%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?·Italy·13%(-28%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 250k·91%(+26%)Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?·Amber Craig·1%(-24%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+82%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·34%(-48%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+47%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 4·29%(-43%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·17%(-41%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·63%(+39%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·3%(-38%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·48%(+36%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?·Italy·13%(-28%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 250k·91%(+26%)Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?·Amber Craig·1%(-24%)

Summary

Above 15 is favored at 85% as of 21 Aug 2026, 16:34 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

international1 marketLIVE

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

All options

Above 15

85%

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$6