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InternationalHistorical market

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Above 20 had the highest retained price at 47% when this page was last updated on 13 May 2026, 13:01 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Above 20
Closed contract
47%
Above 40
Closed contract
14%
Above 60
Closed contract
6%
Above 80
Closed contract
2%
Above 100
Closed contract
1%
Above 120
Closed contract
1%
Above 250
Closed contract
0%
Above 150
Closed contract
0%
Above 200
Closed contract
0%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)?

Above 20 had the highest retained price at 47% when this page was last updated on 13 May 2026, 13:01 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)?

Above 20: 47%; Above 40: 14%; Above 60: 6%; Above 80: 2%; Above 100: 1%; Above 120: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.