Live market summary
Above 15 is favored at 90% as of 23 Oct 2026, 23:38 UTC across 4 markets.
- Above 15: 90% (24h change 0%)
- Above 30: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Above 40: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Above 50: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)?
Above 15 is favored at 90% as of 23 Oct 2026, 23:38 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)?
Above 15: 90%; Above 30: 26%; Above 40: 3%; Above 50: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.