Live market summary
Above 15 is favored at 95% as of 25 Sep 2026, 18:38 UTC across 4 markets.
- Above 15: 95% (24h change 0%)
- Above 10: 91% (24h change 0%)
- Above 25: 51% (24h change 0%)
- Above 30: 25% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)?
Above 15 is favored at 95% as of 25 Sep 2026, 18:38 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)?
Above 15: 95%; Above 10: 91%; Above 25: 51%; Above 30: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.