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Live market summary

Above 20 is favored at 78% as of 7 Oct 2026, 12:37 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Above 20: 78% (24h change -8%)
  • Above 25: 28% (24h change -13%)
  • Above 30: 10% (24h change -7%)
  • Above 35: 5% (24h change -4%)
  • Above 45: 2% (24h change -2%)
  • Above 75: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 100: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

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All options

Above 20

78%
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Above 25

28%
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Above 30

10%
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Above 35

5%
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Above 45

2%
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About this market

Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)?

Above 20 is favored at 78% as of 7 Oct 2026, 12:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)?

Above 20: 78%; Above 25: 28%; Above 30: 10%; Above 35: 5%; Above 45: 2%; Above 75: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.