Above 20 is favored at 83% as of 2 Oct 2026, 23:36 UTC across 5 markets.
- Above 20: 83% (24h change 0%)
- Above 30: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Above 35: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Above 45: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Above 75: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)?
Above 20 is favored at 83% as of 2 Oct 2026, 23:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)?
Above 20: 83%; Above 30: 29%; Above 35: 16%; Above 45: 6%; Above 75: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.