Live market summary
Above 20 is favored at 74% as of 10 Oct 2026, 02:07 UTC across 3 markets.
- Above 20: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Above 25: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Above 40: 7% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)?
Above 20 is favored at 74% as of 10 Oct 2026, 02:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)?
Above 20: 74%; Above 25: 37%; Above 40: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.