Live market summary
Above 10 is favored at 98% as of 4 Sep 2026, 21:34 UTC across 3 markets.
- Above 10: 98% (24h change 0%)
- Above 15: 98% (24h change 0%)
- Above 20: 73% (24h change 0%)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
Above 10 is favored at 98% as of 4 Sep 2026, 21:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
Above 10: 98%; Above 15: 98%; Above 20: 73%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.