Live market summary
Jay Obernolte is favored at 96.3% as of 15 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Jay Obernolte: 96.3% (24h change 0%)
- Tessa Lynn Hodge: 4.7% (24h change +0.6%)
About this market
Market question: CA-23 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-23 House winner?
Jay Obernolte is favored at 96.3% as of 15 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-23 House winner?
Jay Obernolte: 96.3%; Tessa Lynn Hodge: 4.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.