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Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·83%(+78%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 65%·1%(-74%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·2%(-52%)FL-16 Republican primary: Sydney Gruters vote percent·At least 65%·1%(-52%)
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Summary

Jay Obernolte is favored at 91.6% as of 28 Jul 2026, 18:03 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Jay Obernolte: 91.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Tessa Lynn Hodge: 9.5% (24h change 0%)
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CA-23 House winner?

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