Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)Will Mallory McMorrow drop out?·Will Mallory McMorrow drop out of the the 2026 Michigan Senate race before Aug 4, 2026?·99%(+83%)Brazil presidential election: first round winner?·Flávio Bolsonaro·16%(-62%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+48%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·64%(+45%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Treg Taylor·22%(-43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-34%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·51%(-31%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·47%(-30%)MI-07 Democratic nominee?·William Lawrence·25%(-29%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-29%)Early elections in the UK announced?·Before Sep 1, 2026·36%(+28%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·34%(-24%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)

Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)Will Mallory McMorrow drop out?·Will Mallory McMorrow drop out of the the 2026 Michigan Senate race before Aug 4, 2026?·99%(+83%)Brazil presidential election: first round winner?·Flávio Bolsonaro·16%(-62%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+48%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·64%(+45%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Treg Taylor·22%(-43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-34%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·51%(-31%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·47%(-30%)MI-07 Democratic nominee?·William Lawrence·25%(-29%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-29%)Early elections in the UK announced?·Before Sep 1, 2026·36%(+28%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·34%(-24%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)

Live summary

Chris McGowan is favored at 95.9% as of 4 Jul 2026, 00:02 UTC across 2 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

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IA-04 House winner?

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Chris McGowan

95.9%

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Dave Dawson

12%

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