Live market summary
Chris McGowan is favored at 96% as of 3 Oct 2026, 15:36 UTC across 2 markets.
- Chris McGowan: 96% (24h change 0%)
- Dave Dawson: 7.1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: IA-04 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in IA-04 House winner?
Chris McGowan is favored at 96% as of 3 Oct 2026, 15:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for IA-04 House winner?
Chris McGowan: 96%; Dave Dawson: 7.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.