Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 79% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC across 3 markets.
- Before Jan 20, 2029: 79% (24h change +5%)
- Before 2028: 72% (24h change -3%)
- Before 2027: 2.1% (24h change -5%)
About this market
Market question: Will a cabinet member be impeached?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will a cabinet member be impeached?
Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 79% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will a cabinet member be impeached?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 79%; Before 2028: 72%; Before 2027: 2.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.