Live summary
Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 45% as of 5 Jul 2026, 09:32 UTC across 2 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.
- Before Jan 20, 2029: 45% (24h change -1%)
- Before 2027: 19% (24h change +2%)
other2 marketsLIVE
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Trade ↗Odds history
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