Live market summary
Before Feb 3, 2027 is favored at 81% as of 2 Oct 2026, 14:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before Feb 3, 2027: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Before Dec 23, 2026: 35% (24h change 0%)
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When will the Knesset approve a new government?
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About this market
Market question: When will the Knesset approve a new government?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will the Knesset approve a new government?
Before Feb 3, 2027 is favored at 81% as of 2 Oct 2026, 14:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will the Knesset approve a new government?
Before Feb 3, 2027: 81%; Before Dec 23, 2026: 35%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.