When will the Knesset approve a new government?
Trade ↗Before Mar 15, 2027 is favored at 92% as of 30 Oct 2026, 00:04 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before Mar 15, 2027: 92% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 20, 2027: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Before Feb 3, 2027: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Before Dec 23, 2026: 28% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: When will the Knesset approve a new government?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will the Knesset approve a new government?
Before Mar 15, 2027 is favored at 92% as of 30 Oct 2026, 00:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will the Knesset approve a new government?
Before Mar 15, 2027: 92%; Before Jan 20, 2027: 64%; Before Feb 3, 2027: 56%; Before Dec 23, 2026: 28%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.