Naftali Bennett is favored at 78% as of 12 Sep 2026, 02:06 UTC across 10 markets.
- Naftali Bennett: 78% (24h change 0%)
- Israel Katz: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Avigdor Lieberman: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Benny Gantz: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Gadi Eisenkot: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Itamar Ben-Gvir: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Ofer Winter: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Yoav Gallant: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Yair Golan: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Benjamin Netanyahu: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Naftali Bennett is favored at 78% as of 12 Sep 2026, 02:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Naftali Bennett: 78%; Israel Katz: 11%; Avigdor Lieberman: 7%; Benny Gantz: 2%; Gadi Eisenkot: 2%; Itamar Ben-Gvir: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.