Live market summary
Gadi Eisenkot is favored at 54% as of 20 Oct 2026, 05:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Gadi Eisenkot: 54% (24h change 0%)
- Benjamin Netanyahu: 37% (24h change 0%)
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Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
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About this market
Market question: Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
Gadi Eisenkot is favored at 54% as of 20 Oct 2026, 05:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
Gadi Eisenkot: 54%; Benjamin Netanyahu: 37%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.