Itamar Ben-Gvir is favored at 24% as of 9 Oct 2026, 14:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Itamar Ben-Gvir: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Yoram Cohen: 23% (24h change 0%)
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
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About this market
Market question: Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
Itamar Ben-Gvir is favored at 24% as of 9 Oct 2026, 14:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
Itamar Ben-Gvir: 24%; Yoram Cohen: 23%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.