Giorgia Meloni is favored at 49% as of 14 Sep 2026, 00:04 UTC across 11 markets.
- Giorgia Meloni: 49% (24h change 0%)
- Elly Schlein: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Giuseppe Conte: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Roberto Vannacci: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Roberto Gualtieri: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Silvia Salis: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Paolo Gentiloni: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Gaetano Manfredi: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Ernesto Maria Ruffini: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Antonio Tajani: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Antonio Decaro: 3% (24h change 0%)
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general el?
Giorgia Meloni is favored at 49% as of 14 Sep 2026, 00:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general el?
Giorgia Meloni: 49%; Elly Schlein: 21%; Giuseppe Conte: 15%; Roberto Vannacci: 6%; Roberto Gualtieri: 4%; Silvia Salis: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.