Live market summary
Before his term ends is favored at 30% as of 8 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC across 1 market.
- Before his term ends: 30% (24h change 0%)
policy1 marketLIVE
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
Before his term ends is favored at 30% as of 8 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
Before his term ends: 30%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.