Coalition including ODM is favored at 96.8% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 3 markets.
- Coalition including ODM: 96.8% (24h change 0%)
- Coalition including UDA: 44% (24h change 0%)
- Coalition including DCP: 6% (24h change 0%)
Kenyan National Assembly winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Kenyan National Assembly winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Kenyan National Assembly winner?
Coalition including ODM is favored at 96.8% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Kenyan National Assembly winner?
Coalition including ODM: 96.8%; Coalition including UDA: 44%; Coalition including DCP: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.