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Live market summary

Łukasz Gibała is favored at 80% as of 12 Sep 2026, 07:06 UTC across 10 markets.

  • Łukasz Gibała: 80% (24h change 0%)
  • Michał Drewnicki: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Monika Piątkowska: 11% (24h change -9%)
  • Daria Gosek-Popiołek: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Aleksandra Owca: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Bartosz Bocheńczak: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Jan Hoffman: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Michał Klimek: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Sławomir Pietrzyk: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Marian Banaś: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Kraków mayoral election winner?

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About this market

Market question: Kraków mayoral election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Kraków mayoral election winner?

Łukasz Gibała is favored at 80% as of 12 Sep 2026, 07:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Kraków mayoral election winner?

Łukasz Gibała: 80%; Michał Drewnicki: 15%; Monika Piątkowska: 11%; Daria Gosek-Popiołek: 4%; Aleksandra Owca: 2%; Bartosz Bocheńczak: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.