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Powered by KalshiSão Toméan presidential election winner?·Miques João Bonfim·90%(+89%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·73%(+59%)Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?·Lionel Messi·98%(+46%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·46%(+43.8%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·53%(+40%)Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?·Naftali Bennett·16%(-37%)KS-04 Democratic nominee?·Chris Carmichael·59%(+35%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jul 25, 2026·44%(+34%)VA-04 House winner?·Democratic party·64%(-33.1%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Aug 1, 2026·9%(-28%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·Morgan McGarvey·1.4%(-25.6%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 40·42%(-24%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·James Murray·26%(+23%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Dale Holness·24%(+23%)FL-03 Democratic nominee?·Tom Wells·38%(-22%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 89% as of 20 Jul 2026, 06:34 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 89% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 48% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 1, 2026: 14% (24h change -6%)
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