Matthew Garwood is favored at 59% as of 7 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Matthew Garwood: 59% (24h change 0%)
- Kyle Barrett: 18% (24h change -1%)
- Paul Mallett: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Rose Diamond: 6% (24h change 0%)
Launceston mayoral election winner?
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About this market
Market question: Launceston mayoral election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Launceston mayoral election winner?
Matthew Garwood is favored at 59% as of 7 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Launceston mayoral election winner?
Matthew Garwood: 59%; Kyle Barrett: 18%; Paul Mallett: 7%; Rose Diamond: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.