Christopher Luxon is favored at 49% as of 11 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC across 34 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Christopher Luxon: 49% (24h change +2%)
• Benjamin Netanyahu: 45% (24h change -1%)
• Sébastien Lecornu: 23% (24h change 0%)
• Miguel Díaz-Canel: 16% (24h change -1%)
• Delcy Rodriguez: 15% (24h change 0%)
• Pedro Sánchez: 13% (24h change 0%)
• Friedrich Merz: 12% (24h change 0%)
• Ramzan Kadyrov: 11% (24h change 0%)
• Volodymyr Zelenskyy: 10% (24h change 0%)
• Emmanuel Macron: 10% (24h change +1%)
• Lee Jae Myung: 10% (24h change 0%)
• Rodrigo Paz Pereira: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 9.3% (24h change 0%)
• Félix Tshisekedi: 8.3% (24h change 0%)
• Daniel Noboa: 8% (24h change 0%)
• Denis Sassou Nguesso: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
• Vladimir Putin: 7% (24h change -0.2%)
• Mette Frederiksen: 7% (24h change 0%)
• Cyril Ramaphosa: 6.5% (24h change 0%)
• Irfaan Ali: 6.2% (24h change 0%)
• Sanae Takaichi: 6% (24h change +0.1%)
• Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
• Jens-Frederik Nielsen: 5.7% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Carney: 4% (24h change 0%)
• Ahmad al-Sharaa: 4% (24h change 0%)
• Narendra Modi: 3.8% (24h change 0%)
• Claudia Sheinbaum: 3.8% (24h change 0%)
• Mohammed bin Salman: 3% (24h change 0%)
• Nayib Bukele: 3% (24h change 0%)
• Xi Jinping: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
• Giorgia Meloni: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
• Frederik X: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
• Kim Jong Un: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
• Javier Milei: 2% (24h change 0%)