Live summary
Gustavo Petro is favored at 99.1% as of 5 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 34 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.
- Gustavo Petro: 99.1% (24h change 0%)
- Christopher Luxon: 48% (24h change 0%)
- Benjamin Netanyahu: 45% (24h change +2%)
- Miguel Díaz-Canel: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Ramzan Kadyrov: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Pedro Sánchez: 23% (24h change +1%)
- Delcy Rodriguez: 20% (24h change +1%)
- Vladimir Putin: 17% (24h change +1%)
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Jens-Frederik Nielsen: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy: 13% (24h change +2%)
- Mette Frederiksen: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Giorgia Meloni: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Cyril Ramaphosa: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Emmanuel Macron: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Friedrich Merz: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
- Denis Sassou Nguesso: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Carney: 8.8% (24h change 0%)
- Narendra Modi: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Sanae Takaichi: 7% (24h change +1%)
- Daniel Noboa: 6.9% (24h change 0%)
- Félix Tshisekedi: 6.4% (24h change 0%)
- Ahmad al-Sharaa: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 5.8% (24h change -7.2%)
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
- Xi Jinping: 4% (24h change +0.1%)
- Kim Jong Un: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Lee Jae Myung: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Javier Milei: 3.8% (24h change 0%)
- Claudia Sheinbaum: 3.7% (24h change +0.1%)
- Mohammed bin Salman: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Irfaan Ali: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
- Frederik X: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
- Nayib Bukele: 1% (24h change 0%)
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