Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiVirginia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 7+ pts·88%(+87.7%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 11+ pts·83%(+83%)GA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)Oregon Republican Senate nominee?·David Brock Smith·92%(+75%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 24, 2026·18%(-64%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·11%(-61%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·40% - 45%·28%(-58%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·70%(+54%)Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent·25% - 30%·69%(+51%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·31%(-45%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·31%(-45%)Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Jul 1, 2026·73%(+43%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)
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Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

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Keir Starmer

72%
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