Live market summary
Republican Party is favored at 4.8% as of 2 Oct 2026, 15:06 UTC across 1 market.
- Republican Party: 4.8% (24h change 0%)
congressional1 marketLIVE
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
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Market question: Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
Republican Party is favored at 4.8% as of 2 Oct 2026, 15:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
Republican Party: 4.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.