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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)
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Summary

0 is favored at 95.2% as of 19 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 0: 95.2% (24h change 0%)
  • 1: 11% (24h change +4%)
  • 2: 0.1% (24h change -1.4%)
  • 3: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • 4: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
senate5 marketsLIVE

How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

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Odds history

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0

95.2%
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1

11%
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2

0.1%
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3

0.1%
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4

0.1%
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