Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·5%(-75%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)TX-32 House winner?·Dan Barrios·22%(-54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·1%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-46%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-44%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-43.7%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·56%(+42%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 16+ pts·18%(-38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·5%(-75%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)TX-32 House winner?·Dan Barrios·22%(-54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·1%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·26%(-46%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-44%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-43.7%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·56%(+42%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 16+ pts·18%(-38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)

Summary

2 is favored at 74% as of 20 Aug 2026, 21:04 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

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How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Odds history

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All options

2

74%

▼ -5%

$147K

3

27%

▼ -10%

$114K

4 or more

2%

▼ -0.8%

$164K