Exactly 0 is favored at 94.2% as of 5 Oct 2026, 13:05 UTC across 6 markets.
- Exactly 0: 94.2% (24h change -0.4%)
- Exactly 1: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
- Exactly 2: 4.3% (24h change 0%)
- Exactly 3: 1.9% (24h change 0%)
- Exactly 4: 1.8% (24h change 0%)
- 5 or more: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Exactly 0 is favored at 94.2% as of 5 Oct 2026, 13:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Exactly 0: 94.2%; Exactly 1: 4.9%; Exactly 2: 4.3%; Exactly 3: 1.9%; Exactly 4: 1.8%; 5 or more: 0.6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.