Live market summary
Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 24% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Apr 1, 2027: 24% (24h change 0%)
cabinet1 marketLIVE
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
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About this market
Market question: Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 24% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 24%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.