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InternationalHistorical market

Makerfield by-election winner?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Labour had the highest retained price at 94% when this page was last updated on 20 Jun 2026, 05:22 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Labour
Closed contract
94%
Reform UK
Closed contract
7%
Restore Britain
Closed contract
1%
Conservative
Closed contract
1%
Green Party
Closed contract
1%
Liberal Democrat
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Makerfield by-election winner?

Labour had the highest retained price at 94% when this page was last updated on 20 Jun 2026, 05:22 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Makerfield by-election winner?

Labour: 94%; Reform UK: 7%; Restore Britain: 1%; Conservative: 1%; Green Party: 1%; Liberal Democrat: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.