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What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

At least 56% had the highest retained price at 85% when this page was last updated on 13 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
At least 56%
Closed contract
85%
At least 54%
Closed contract
83%
At least 52%
Closed contract
79%
At least 58%
Closed contract
76%
At least 60%
Closed contract
50%
At least 64%
Closed contract
25%
At least 66%
Closed contract
22%
About this market

Market question: What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

At least 56% had the highest retained price at 85% when this page was last updated on 13 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

At least 56%: 85%; At least 54%: 83%; At least 52%: 79%; At least 58%: 76%; At least 60%: 50%; At least 64%: 25%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.