Live market summary
AfD is favored at 85% as of 16 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC across 7 markets.
- AfD: 85% (24h change +1%)
- SPD: 19% (24h change +4%)
- FDP: 1% (24h change 0%)
- BSW: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Grüne: 1% (24h change 0%)
- CDU: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Die Linke: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
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About this market
Market question: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
AfD is favored at 85% as of 16 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
AfD: 85%; SPD: 19%; FDP: 1%; BSW: 1%; Grüne: 1%; CDU: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.