Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
GA-07 Democratic nominee?
·
Anthony Kozycki
·
94%
(+76%)
Oregon Republican Senate nominee?
·
David Brock Smith
·
93%
(+76%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
13%
(-69%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
19%
(-65%)
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
·
Andy Barr, 30-35%
·
11%
(-61%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent
·
40% - 45%
·
27%
(-59%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
70%
(+54%)
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent
·
25% - 30%
·
70%
(+52%)
New York's 4th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 12+ pts
·
49%
(+49%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?
·
Penny Brown Reynolds
·
72%
(+43%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
GA-07 Democratic nominee?
·
Anthony Kozycki
·
94%
(+76%)
Oregon Republican Senate nominee?
·
David Brock Smith
·
93%
(+76%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
13%
(-69%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
19%
(-65%)
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
·
Andy Barr, 30-35%
·
11%
(-61%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent
·
40% - 45%
·
27%
(-59%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
70%
(+54%)
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent
·
25% - 30%
·
70%
(+52%)
New York's 4th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 12+ pts
·
49%
(+49%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?
·
Penny Brown Reynolds
·
72%
(+43%)
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