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Live market summary

Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 90% as of 10 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Democrats, 1+ pts: 90% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 3+ pts: 84% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 7+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 38% (24h change -2%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 8% (24h change 0%)
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North Carolina Senate margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: North Carolina Senate margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in North Carolina Senate margin of victory?

Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 90% as of 10 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for North Carolina Senate margin of victory?

Democrats, 1+ pts: 90%; Democrats, 3+ pts: 84%; Democrats, 5+ pts: 73%; Democrats, 7+ pts: 50%; Democrats, 9+ pts: 38%; Democrats, 11+ pts: 26%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.