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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026?·41.1 to 41.3·95%(+92%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·12%(-82%)Will Darline Graham Nordone endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?·Before Aug 11, 2026·92%(+74%)Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?·Before 2028·23%(-65%)FL-04 Democratic nominee?·LaShonda Holloway·74%(+65%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Bill Gates·39%(-57.9%)Who will drop out of their primary?·Sara Rodriguez·99%(+48%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·51%(+48%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?·Darline Graham Nordone·56%(+42%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Sanae Takaichi·14%(-41%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 60·26%(-38%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·64%(+36%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 7·2%(-36%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Jonathan Reynolds·86%(+35%)When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?·Before Nov 3, 2026·73%(+34%)
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Summary

Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 79% as of 17 Jul 2026, 21:03 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 3+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 67% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 7+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 49% (24h change +6%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
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North Carolina Senate margin of victory

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