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Live market summary

Democrats, 19+ pts is favored at 99% as of 9 Sep 2026, 18:37 UTC across 11 markets.

  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 68% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 27+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 29+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
About this market

Market question: New Jersey Senate margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in New Jersey Senate margin of victory?

Democrats, 19+ pts is favored at 99% as of 9 Sep 2026, 18:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for New Jersey Senate margin of victory?

Democrats, 19+ pts: 99%; Democrats, 9+ pts: 99%; Democrats, 11+ pts: 86%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 81%; Democrats, 15+ pts: 75%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 68%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.