Oregon Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Merkley, 13+ pts is favored at 89% as of 24 Oct 2026, 20:39 UTC across 11 markets.
- Merkley, 13+ pts: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 15+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 17+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 19+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 21+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 23+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 25+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 27+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 29+ pts: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 31+ pts: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Merkley, 33+ pts: 7.5% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Oregon Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Oregon Senate margin of victory?
Merkley, 13+ pts is favored at 89% as of 24 Oct 2026, 20:39 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Oregon Senate margin of victory?
Merkley, 13+ pts: 89%; Merkley, 15+ pts: 88%; Merkley, 17+ pts: 81%; Merkley, 19+ pts: 73%; Merkley, 21+ pts: 66%; Merkley, 23+ pts: 57%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.