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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 35%·13%(-61%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·3%(-48%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·76%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·25%(-35%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+34%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #175·12%(-32%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·62%(+32%)Michigan's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·35%(-30%)Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?·Amendment 3·83%(+30%)Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·15%(-30%)
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Summary

Democrats, 15+ pts is favored at 88% as of 11 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 48% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 27+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 29+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 31+ pts: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 33+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
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Oregon Senate margin of victory

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