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SenateHistorical market

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Ken Paxton, 12+ pts had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 17 Jun 2026, 12:12 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Ken Paxton, 12+ pts
Closed contract
99.9%
Ken Paxton, 21+ pts
Closed contract
99.9%
Ken Paxton, 24+ pts
Closed contract
99.5%
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
Closed contract
99.5%
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Closed contract
99%
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts
Closed contract
99%
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts
Closed contract
98.2%
Ken Paxton, 15+ pts
Closed contract
95%
Ken Paxton, 18+ pts
Closed contract
91%
Ken Paxton, 30+ pts
Closed contract
1%
Ken Paxton, 33+ pts
Closed contract
0%
Ken Paxton, 36+ pts
Closed contract
0%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory?

Ken Paxton, 12+ pts had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 17 Jun 2026, 12:12 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory?

Ken Paxton, 12+ pts: 99.9%; Ken Paxton, 21+ pts: 99.9%; Ken Paxton, 24+ pts: 99.5%; Ken Paxton, 9+ pts: 99.5%; Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 99%; Ken Paxton, 6+ pts: 99%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.