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SenateHistorical market

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Ken Paxton, 12+ pts had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 17 Jun 2026, 12:12 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Ken Paxton, 12+ pts
Closed contract
99.9%
Ken Paxton, 21+ pts
Closed contract
99.9%
Ken Paxton, 24+ pts
Closed contract
99.5%
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
Closed contract
99.5%
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Closed contract
99%
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts
Closed contract
99%
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts
Closed contract
98.2%
Ken Paxton, 15+ pts
Closed contract
95%
Ken Paxton, 18+ pts
Closed contract
91%
Ken Paxton, 30+ pts
Closed contract
1%
Ken Paxton, 33+ pts
Closed contract
0%
Ken Paxton, 36+ pts
Closed contract
0%
About this market

Market question: Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory?

Ken Paxton, 12+ pts had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 17 Jun 2026, 12:12 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory?

Ken Paxton, 12+ pts: 99.9%; Ken Paxton, 21+ pts: 99.9%; Ken Paxton, 24+ pts: 99.5%; Ken Paxton, 9+ pts: 99.5%; Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 99%; Ken Paxton, 6+ pts: 99%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.