Ken Paxton, 1+ pts is favored at 47% as of 10 Sep 2026, 08:34 UTC across 7 markets.
- Ken Paxton, 1+ pts: 47% (24h change -3%)
- Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 32% (24h change -2%)
- Ken Paxton, 5+ pts: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 13% (24h change +2%)
- Ken Paxton, 9+ pts: 8.9% (24h change +0.9%)
- Ken Paxton, 13+ pts: 4% (24h change +1%)
- Ken Paxton, 11+ pts: 3.4% (24h change 0%)
Texas Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Texas Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas Senate margin of victory?
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts is favored at 47% as of 10 Sep 2026, 08:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas Senate margin of victory?
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts: 47%; Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 32%; Ken Paxton, 5+ pts: 18%; Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 13%; Ken Paxton, 9+ pts: 8.9%; Ken Paxton, 13+ pts: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.