Texas Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Ken Paxton, 1+ pts is favored at 33% as of 25 Oct 2026, 12:35 UTC across 11 markets.
- Ken Paxton, 1+ pts: 33% (24h change -1%)
- Ken Paxton, 2+ pts: 28% (24h change +1%)
- Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 22% (24h change -3%)
- Ken Paxton, 4+ pts: 19% (24h change 0%)
- Ken Paxton, 5+ pts: 13% (24h change -2%)
- Ken Paxton, 6+ pts: 12% (24h change -2%)
- Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 9.6% (24h change +0.3%)
- Ken Paxton, 8+ pts: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Ken Paxton, 9+ pts: 5% (24h change -1.1%)
- Ken Paxton, 13+ pts: 4% (24h change +0.8%)
- Ken Paxton, 11+ pts: 3.7% (24h change 0%)
All options
About this market
Market question: Texas Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas Senate margin of victory?
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts is favored at 33% as of 25 Oct 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas Senate margin of victory?
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts: 33%; Ken Paxton, 2+ pts: 28%; Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 22%; Ken Paxton, 4+ pts: 19%; Ken Paxton, 5+ pts: 13%; Ken Paxton, 6+ pts: 12%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.