Warner, 11+ pts is favored at 81% as of 15 Sep 2026, 21:06 UTC across 5 markets.
- Warner, 11+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Warner, 17+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Warner, 19+ pts: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Warner, 21+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Warner, 27+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
Virginia Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Virginia Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Virginia Senate margin of victory?
Warner, 11+ pts is favored at 81% as of 15 Sep 2026, 21:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Virginia Senate margin of victory?
Warner, 11+ pts: 81%; Warner, 17+ pts: 57%; Warner, 19+ pts: 40%; Warner, 21+ pts: 39%; Warner, 27+ pts: 13%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.