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Virginia Senate margin of victory

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Live market summary

Warner, 11+ pts is favored at 98.9% as of 25 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 11 markets.

  • Warner, 11+ pts: 98.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 7+ pts: 93.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 9+ pts: 93.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 15+ pts: 88% (24h change +6%)
  • Warner, 13+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 17+ pts: 85% (24h change +2%)
  • Warner, 19+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 21+ pts: 73% (24h change +13%)
  • Warner, 23+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 25+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Warner, 27+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
About this market

Market question: Virginia Senate margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Virginia Senate margin of victory?

Warner, 11+ pts is favored at 98.9% as of 25 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Virginia Senate margin of victory?

Warner, 11+ pts: 98.9%; Warner, 7+ pts: 93.6%; Warner, 9+ pts: 93.2%; Warner, 15+ pts: 88%; Warner, 13+ pts: 88%; Warner, 17+ pts: 85%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.