Democrats, 11+ pts is favored at 81% as of 6 Sep 2026, 15:33 UTC across 5 markets.
- Democrats, 11+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 17+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 21+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 27+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
Virginia Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Virginia Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Virginia Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 11+ pts is favored at 81% as of 6 Sep 2026, 15:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Virginia Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 11+ pts: 81%; Democrats, 17+ pts: 57%; Democrats, 19+ pts: 40%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 39%; Democrats, 27+ pts: 13%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.